3rd Oct, 2012

The First Debate

The First Debate has been cast as the Event of the Century by the palpitating pundit class – a scant 90 minutes capable of changing the trajectory of the entire election, the future of the country, and the path of the world. Meanwhile, the campaigns are busy indulging in the time-honored tradition of downplaying expectations, while damning their opponents with faint praise. The only real winners have been the late-night comedians.

Thus far, Mitt Romney’s inability to find a coherent and appealing message, his dismissive and cavalier attitude toward those who struggle, and his weather-vane-like propensity for shifting with the wind on any given issue have been the story of this election cycle. Republicans hope that the debate will provide him an etch-a-sketch moment to erase all of that nasty stuff swirling around him and replace it with Ronald Reagan 2.0.

Unfortunately, the long Neptune station that sits in a square to Romney’s Ascendant (00Gemini43) from the GOP Convention through mid-December 2012 continues to deny him a solid, clear life raft in the midst of a murky sea. The self-delusion, the dishonesty, the hyperbole, the confusion remain for the duration.

In addition, as of October 3 through October 12, transiting Saturn will be in a quincunx aspect to Romney’s Ascendant, a difficult configuration further triggered by the Moon on the morning after the debate. This suggests that the grandiose expectations (Neptune) that Romney holds for the debate – the magical impact of his many programmed “zingers” and the planned destruction wreaked by his aggressive attacks – will come to naught. From what I can see, there is little to suggest Romney will make any headway in the first debate.

As for the president, the planet of success and optimism, Jupiter, continues to sit in a two-month sesquiquadrate to his natal Jupiter (00Aquairus52), as well as in a two-month square to his solar return Ascendant (15Virgo43). Moreover, transiting Venus will be sextile to natal Venus (1Cancer47) during the debate and through the next afternoon. This suggests that President Obama will come off as far more likeable and more trustworthy than Romney, not unexpected but still crucially important. As will no doubt be discussed in the many late-night and morning-after reviews, a majority of debate watchers,  in the traditional American measure of political success in difficult times, would probably prefer to have that iconic  beer with Obama.

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